Open Thread (10/3/2008)

Friday, October 3, 2008.

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RexBradfield's picture

I watched a little of the debate last night, and was struck my Palin's response to the question on raising taxes on Business or Person more than $250,000/ yr. and how it would affect all the small businesses and possibly cause them to lay off workers or not increase the work force. She is right.

But Biden, said that 95% of all the small businesses make less than $250,000. Can hardly believe that. Take this area, it is primarily dependent on the small business for the employment. Kraft, the medical treatment facilities and the University of Illinois are the major employers, with the rest being the retail stores, food services and all the small businesses.

For example, Erwin, Martinkus, Alladin Electric, The Esquire, Tumble Inn, Tatmans, Berns Clancy, Sodemann, Clark Dietz, Shelby, O'brian, Farm and Fleet, Champaign Asphalt, Duce, Kan-Doo and Imperial Concrete, are all small businesses and employ many people. Do we think for a moment, that increasing taxes on them will not affect us locally?

A long time ago, I managed Whitt's End in Champaign, it averaged about $1,200 per day or $438,000 year and employed between 18 to 25 people, some full time and some part time. It was just a local bar, but probably did fall in the $250,000 range, and most certainly did when you also included the Charleston site, which nearly doubled the income.

That is a dangerous tax increase and Biden, was making an answer for political gain that is very deceptive.

Candidate for Mayor of Urbana
Rex Bradfield

Rex, Carle just laid off 72 employees. Unemployment is over 7%, the highest it has been in years. McCain/Palin will follow the same economic policies of Bush/Cheney. Further deregulation of the markets will cause further "cratering".

 

I am who I am and that's all that I am

Anonymous

akibare's picture

Since when is Farm and Fleet a small business? It's a multi-state regional big-box chain.  (Unless the local one is a franchise... okay, yeah, wikipedia says they're franchised).  Most retail around here, like everywhere, is chains.  Are the clothing type stores franchised like the fast food?  Honest question - a friend of mine owns some Subway restaurants in Taiwan, they're franchised so run the whole thing like a small business, but I don't know how it goes with other types of stores.  The other local examples you have, yeah, small businesses. 

 

But I suppose the question is, the country needs revenue to operate. Where should that revenue come from? Who should pay it?

 

Any tax proposals ever, they always are met with "but that will hurt [insert example here]."  And yes, there is some pain.   But we can't tax businesses because that's bad for the economy (or so it is said), we can't tax property because of the farmers and the little old ladies on fixed incomes, and we can't tax the "fat cats" because that's class warfare and they'll stop buying yachts and employing all the shipbuilders.  Any group you name, there's a photogenic victim waiting in the wings to make the commercial.

 

So... where, then?  Completely aside from any specifics of the debate last night, where should the revenue come from?  There's a multi-front war on and the country's infrastructure is rapidly falling behind and falling apart.

 

Meanwhile I'll do my part to give revenue to local bars this evening :D

 

nattering.nabob's picture

Not to distract from Akibare's excellent point -- that the essential Republican stance is that you can get everything for free, as long as you're willing to stick your own grandkids with the bill -- here's what I've been thinking.

Osama Bin Laden, who's no dummy, knew that the best President he could hope for in 2004 was George Bush, who by then had already turned the nation's attention away from OBL ("I just don't think about him much anymore") to railroading our country into his cockamamie BS war in Iraq. Bush's ridiculous war in Iraq was the biggest recruiter for al Qaeda Bin Laden could hope for, *and* it pulled out troops who otherwise would have been looking for -- guess who, Osama bin Laden. Four more years of George Bush was just exactly what he wanted. So he implicitly endorsed Kerry -- simple reverse psychology any fourth grader could understand -- and Bush squeaked out another victory (to my chagrin in 2004, and pretty much everybody's chagrin ever since).

The disastrous war in Iraq was a giant gift to Osama. He should send George Bush a box of chocolates or something.

Now, McCain is even more of a ditz than Bush, and is just as unlikely to do anything to effectively render Bin Laden to justice. So suppose that Bin Ladin decides to send out another one of his Wayne's World tapes. And he sez, "Hi, here from my cave, hey, how's that President Bush thing working out for you, and by the way, here's my shout out to my hero, Barack Hussein Obama." In other words, suppose he pulls the same stunt he did in 2004. Would it work again?

The answer is, it might. The polls now show that (a) there by now so few undecided voters that there aren't enough to make up the Obama lead even if undecideds went 100% for McCain, and (b) studies show that very few people switch their vote at the last minute, and that such switches are a wash because they go in both directions. So the signs are pretty clear: a month before the election, McCain is blazing down the Highway to Loserville unless something even bigger than the financial crisis hits, and unless McCain is able to capitalize on it better than with the Michael-Jackson-with-his-hair-on-fire novelty act he pulled last week.

In short, there's now only one game changer we can reasonably foresee that's big enough to hand McCain victory -- and it's in the hands of Osama.

Corben Rice's picture

Congrats to Tim Johnson for having the guts to vote no on the bail out a second time.  Thanks Tim.

But Biden, said that 95% of all the small businesses make less than $250,000. Can hardly believe that.

Why? He stated this on national TV, with millions of people able to fact check it. If it were a lie, it'd be pretty easy to call him on it. Care to provide any evidence to the contrary?

Do we think for a moment, that increasing taxes on them will not affect us locally?

Well, if they're not affected by the tax increase (i.e., NI < $250,000), no.

A long time ago, I managed Whitt's End in Champaign, it averaged about $1,200 per day or $438,000 year and employed between 18 to 25 people, some full time and some part time. It was just a local bar, but probably did fall in the $250,000 range, and most certainly did when you also included the Charleston site, which nearly doubled the income.

Do you actually know that their income exceeded $250,000? Or are you just guessing?

By the way, here are my numbers:

There are approximately 34,736,000 tax units reporting business income in the US.
Of these, only 479,000(1.4%) fall in the 33% or 35% marginal tax rate.
The tax brackets for 33% and 35% include all businesses that make more than $250,000 annually (actually, it includes plenty that make less than $250,000, since the cutoff for 33% is less than $250,000).
Since, at most, 1.4% of tax units with business income have AGI > $250,000, I think Biden's assertion of 95% is correct.

Source: Tax Policy Center

Oil Man's picture

There is the IRS's definition of small business, the Small Business Administration's definition of small business and the list goes on. 

Point is Biden was correct last night as Thoughtpolice points out.  I cannot see how the layoff picture Palin made in her statements could possibly be for small businesses (net >250k per year) will not see a tax increase.  And those local bar owners and all the small businesses R.B listed, who walk away with over a quarter million dollars in their pocket for the year, will get hit.  Will it mean they will lay off people?  NO.  Like any business they will try to increase their business to make more money to regain what they lost with the higher tax.  In fact, they may hire more people or automate since both costs are directly tax deductable.

From the house.gov website:

Due to an unusually high amount of emails currently being submitted through the Write Your Representative feature (above), you may experience a slow response or error message when attempting to send emails through this system during hours of peak demand. We apologize for this inconvenience. Our technicians are working to fix the problem. Thank you.

I tried to e-mail my disgust with the bailout bill to Tim Johnson. 

 

 

Corben Rice's picture

I tried to e-mail my disgust with the bailout bill to Tim Johnson. 

Tim Johnson on Bail out,"The federal government and the American public can only be asked to go so far. A $700 billion bailout is plain incomprehensible to me. The message this sends citizens is that bad decisions have no consequences. For the federal government to bring Congress a three-page proposal for a $700 billion bailout only six days ago stretches credulity."

ph: (217) 403-4690

This time Tim Johnson has clean hands.

Tim Johnson definitely did the right thing by voting against the bill again.

It's gonna be hilarious watching incumbents who voted for the bill lose their seats.  They're gonna need nametags in the House and the Senate.

We're talking about net income not gross income.  So a guy who owns a small business that nets him $250,000 a year, why shouldn't he pay more in income taxes?  What difference does it make whether he makes $250,000 in wages or makes it as the owner of a business?

Corben Rice's picture

We're talking about net income not gross income.  So a guy who owns a small business that nets him $250,000 a year, why shouldn't he pay more in income taxes?  What difference does it make whether he makes $250,000 in wages or makes it as the owner of a business?

 

I agree. That is why I think there should be only one tax system for the federal government. Stop taxing corporations and tax all personal income no matter what the source. If you make 250k from capital gains pay the tax on 250k if it comes from a paycheck the same amount, if you make it as a sole proprietor pay the same amount. That would be truly fair. It also would remove the double taxation of income on corporations.

Stop taxing corporations and tax all personal income no matter what the source.

Right, but a large portion of corporate income is never distributed as personal income.

If you make 250k from capital gains pay the tax on 250k if it comes from a paycheck the same amount, if you make it as a sole proprietor pay the same amount. That would be truly fair. It also would remove the double taxation of income on corporations.

Or you could eliminate capital gains taxes to avoid double taxation, or allow corporations to deduct dividends.

Gregg's picture

I sent Tim an email on His site and got an instant automated reply that the system received it. That's a hell of lot more than I got from "Dick Turban" or from the "Messiah"

Local Voter's picture

"Stop taxing corporations and tax all personal income no matter what the source."

"Or you could eliminate capital gains taxes to avoid double taxation, or allow corporations to deduct dividends." 

All good ideas which will never happen.  Politicians need to get and keep their elected position first and formost.  Therefore entitlements will not be discussed neither will fixing the tax, the health care delivery, the defense or the "farm" welfare systems.  All these systems secure votes and financial support just as they are which makes them OFF LIMITS.

RexBradfield's picture

Thought

That is an interesting site. Thanks for the link.

I found the distinction on taxes on those who have mortgages and those who do not to be disturbing, Did I misread that?

Candidate for Mayor of Urbana
Rex Bradfield

I sent Tim an email on His site and got an instant automated reply that the system received it. That's a hell of lot more than I got from "Dick Turban" or from the "Messiah"

And that my friends is what it is.

A long time ago, I managed Whitt's End in Champaign, it averaged about $1,200 per day or $438,000 year and employed between 18 to 25 people, some full time and some part time. It was just a local bar, but probably did fall in the $250,000 range, and most certainly did when you also included the Charleston site, which nearly doubled the income.

Just to reiterate what everyone else already said, your example probably wouldn't see a tax hike.  That's gross income, before business expenses (like salary from all of those employees) are deducted.  Sorry Rex, I'm going with Biden on this one.

In last night's debate, I remember thinking after Palin used the condescending phrase "east coast elites", thanks for New Hampshire Sarah. I know it is fashionable among conservatives to insult people who live on the east coast, but have they ever considered this: a LOT of people live on the east coast; there are a lot of electoral votes there.

Stop taxing corporations and tax all personal income no matter what the source.

Except then people are just going to form shell corporations to hold all their assets or their family's assets and the money won't ever be realized as "personal income."

So Michigan and NH. How about Alaska? Are the Rs going to win that one? I hear it's the "largest state"--in fact I've heard that quite a lot lately...

I know it is fashionable among conservatives to insult people who live on the east coast, but have they ever considered this: a LOT of people live on the east coast; there are a lot of electoral votes there.

Jay,

This is a lot like people always dissing Chicago and those who live there. I suppose it makes them feel better, but then you have to wonder why that doesn't persuade much of anyone beyond listening range of the veracity of the other points that someone's trying to make.

OJ Simpson got convicted on all counts.

"insult people" ? Just read any post above by one of the tolerant liberals and then tell me about insults.

"insult people" ? Just read any post above by one of the tolerant liberals and then tell me about insults.

Somebody can't tell the difference between critiquing arguments and being insulting.

D. Boon's picture

Somebody can't tell the difference between critiquing arguments and being insulting.

It's pretty common over here now.  You say somebody's argument doesn't make sense, and they call you an idiot.  You point out the personal insult and they claim you started it by attacking their argument.  After all, if you say Sarah Palin is an idiot you are really calling all Repubicans idiots, dontcha know?

It is getting really old, but shows no signs of dying.

Boon,

listen, I agree with you on almost all of the political issues.  I admire your ability to effectively communicate your points.  However, your schtick of attacking people then crying when they say something mean back to you is getting old.  Quit trying to play the victim card all the time because you give probably more than you get.

Why should business taxes be progressive in the first place?  I don't see why a business with $1M of income split among ten owners should pay a higher tax rate than a business with $100,000 of income and only one owner.  Dividends should be deductable like interest payments.

Corben Rice's picture

Except then people are just going to form shell corporations to hold all their assets or their family's assets and the money won't ever be realized as "personal income."

As soon as they pull it out to spend it will be taxed.  Money has to be "realized" first before it is put in a shell corporation.  Where did they get the money they are putting in a shell corporation?

Corben Rice's picture

"Right, but a large portion of corporate income is never distributed as personal income."

This is true that portion not distrubited in anyway is reinvested and is not taxed currently anyway.

"Or you could eliminate capital gains taxes to avoid double taxation, or allow corporations to deduct dividends."

This is true.  Personally though I would prefer to eliminate taxes on the business so that we are encouraging reinvestment and capital growth rather then just dispersements to investors.

Massachusetts is now looking to ask the US Treasury for a cheapo loan to continue operations just like California asked for a 7 billion dollar one.

Imagine that, the two most liberal states in the country looking for a handout when the going gets tough.

Why should the rest of the country pay for the excesses of states that spend far beyond their means?  How about they make some significant budget cuts?  Do you think they have thought to do that first?  The obvious solution?

The truth is that there are no buyers for their debt paper at the low low rates they have enjoyed for years.  They would have to raise the interest rate payout on the debt.  But then of course it would be much more expensive for them to operate the state.  And they would have to make budget cuts, or significantly raise taxes (not a chance of this happening in the current environment)

This is what I have predicted--more states will come and I bet Illinois is going to be included in that list.  There is going to be a huge shrinking of state government, and finally, we will start to hack away at the massive amount of government spending that we simply do not need.

Cities, towns, school districts, etc. are next.  The grim reaper is coming.

IlliniPundit's picture

"It's pretty common over here now.  You say somebody's argument doesn't make sense, and they call you an idiot.  You point out the personal insult and they claim you started it by attacking their argument.  After all, if you say Sarah Palin is an idiot you are really calling all Repubicans idiots, dontcha know?"

Oh, whatever. 

When you're ready to have a rational conversation that doesn't include blanket insults aimed at everyone with whom you disagree, I'm ready.

When you can have a discussion about politics that doesn't involve your demanding that all involved must accept the premise that that Republicans have no morals or are greedy or hate black people, I'm ready.

D. Boon's picture

Quit trying to play the victim card all the time because you give probably more than you get.

This is probably good advice.  And, frankly, I am not interested in re-fighting these stupid fights.  Apologies for dragging this back out.  It is a waste of everyone's time, and I need to just work on not playing into it.  Seriously.

When you can have a discussion about politics that doesn't involve your demanding that all involved must accept the premise that that Republicans have no morals or are greedy or hate black people, I'm ready.

Note to self: time to begin working on not playing into it.

Cheers!

 

When you're ready to have a rational conversation that doesn't include blanket insults aimed at everyone with whom you disagree, I'm ready.

Yes, but I don't see much of you anymore. I don't include blanket insults aimed at everyone with whom I disagree, and then I get no response from you and a half-a-dozen people just slurring me for no reason. If I say nothing, it continues. If I respond thoughtfully with an edge, I'm told that both people need to settle down.

Neither of those seem like decent solutions to me, so I'm merely asking for clarity on the issue. Please do not take this in any way to be a critique of your lack of activity--I certainly never put this site before my kids, so I wouldn't expect you to do the same.

It would be nice if you opened the front page keys to a few others, but that's just me.

Xian, please be patient with IP and the rest of the gang. They're in a very painful spot. Their party is going down in flames. They're facing the prospect of being on the wrong side of a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate (say hello to Senator Al Franken!). Even Karl Rove said today that Obama's got this thing in the bag. Their only hope is that this campaign becomes about pigs and lipstick, flag pins and moose, and what Bill Ayers did when Obama was six years old (but not about what McCain did with the K------ F--- when he was in the Senate).

And deep down they know that they have nobody to blame except themselves. No scary black guy named "Hussein" did this to them. The Republicans did this to themselves.

Glock21's picture

anon... This election was doomed for the GOP for quite some time.  As people, GOP included, have been saying for over a year, this is the Dem's to lose.  The only shocking part was that McCain actually pulled ahead for a while (remember the bed wetting on the other side (Obama's campaign manager's words, not mine)).

 

The financial crisis brought the tried and true, "It's the economy, stupid." back to the forefront.  It'd be pretty interesting if the usual roller coaster of polling end up getting McCain back ahead in the national polling and downright amazing if he's able to beat out Obama in the EV distrobution.  But that's old news.  Bigger news is that Obama is finally beating "generic dem" which [sarcasm] is really impressive this deep in an election they're basically being handed. [/sarcasm]

 

"The Republicans did this to themselves."

 

And how.

 

--

Glock21 Op/Ed

Anon--Xian, please be patient with IP and the rest of the gang. They're in a very painful spot. Their party is going down in flames. They're facing the prospect of being on the wrong side of a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate (say hello to Senator Al Franken!). Even Karl Rove said today that Obama's got this thing in the bag.

Anon--I don't think you have a clue about what conservatives think, I have learned that I while I do very my best I can only do so much.

I was thinking about a Veto Proof senate and Obama as President who voted against the Born alive bill and as I read it infanticide and who is also from Chicago home of both the Leaders of Corruption and Gun control in our state. 

With help from Planned Parenthood and the Pro-Abortion Democrats in the Congress would States that currently restrict some forms of Abortion say "taking a minor across state lines with out parental notification; a states rights issue" be forced by federal law to remove those restrictions. 

Would Charles Schumer lead the way in the Congress to a Federal law that would require that a U. S. household could only own one gun? That any additional guns would be confiscated by the government as they where in Australia.

I know you will say they would never do those things, Obama said he thought that gun ownership was a individual right and that he voted against the Born Alive bill because there was other laws that kept that from happening. Well he can change his mind again or as he seems to say allot we just misunderstood him and then we are in trouble.

Some people think if Obama gets elected it can't get any worse, well it can and will.

 

 

nattering.nabob's picture

I don't think you have a clue about what conservatives think

I think you'd be mighty surprised. I grew up in a Republican family and my dad still takes the Wall Street Journal daily. I was a conservative in high school, but I grew out of it. And the funny thing is, the more I learn, the more liberal I become.

And the more I learn, the more I look forward to the Obama administration.

natter.nabbob are you logging on as Anon, who I was addressing with may comment? (I have edited my comment since Anon's below)

Run,

please proofread your posts.  They are bordering on incomprehensible.

IlliniPundit's picture

"Xian, please be patient with IP and the rest of the gang. They're in a very painful spot."

I'm not in a painful spot at all.  McCain was never my preferred candidate, and I've been saying for a long, long time that the only thing that could prevent the Democrats from winning the White House is the Democrats.  Obama may still screw up badly enough to do that, but it's not up to McCain to win or lose this election, and it really never has been - it's a Bush/Obama referendum, and it's hard to imagine that dynamic working out well for McCain.

Plus, I've got a lot of confidence in the candidates for whom I'm working, I've got a great family and job, I love my community and have great faith in the American people to thrive, even if Obama wins.  Plus, I've got a good relationship with my Congressman's office, so when Obama implements socialized health care and my kid gets sick, hopefully I'll be able to call and start a constituent services case so that we can more quickly get government approval to go see a doctor.  :-)   It will be interesting to see the Democrats control the entire Federal government for the first time since 1993-94.  I wonder how much control they're really willing to give the government over our lives?

And I actually feel badly for xian, who is routinely treated pretty badly on here, and usually puts up with quite a bit before lashing back.  Unfortunately, because of differing activity schedules, xian and I seem to be on IP.com at nearly opposite times, so by the time I catch up, it's usually too late to intervene.  For that, I'm sorry, but I just can't be on here all the time.  I do appreciate that you manage to ignore the worst of it for so long.

nattering.nabob's picture

I'm not in a painful spot at all.

I wouldn't expect you to say anything different.

The thing is, it isn't just McCain. It's the whole core of the GOP economic policy that's being voted on, and it's getting a big thumbs down. We tried it, and look how it works -- the Dow lost 400 700 points so far today. The Dow's lost over a third of its value in the last year. Do you think people don't see that and remember how George Bush wanted to privatize Social Security?

When McCain goes down in flames, the GOP will have a choice. Will they blame their candidate -- the candidate they chose all by themselves in a year-long process they directed, they financed, they controlled, and they voted in -- or will they search their souls? Will they actually have the courage to take a look at the fundamentals of their economic policies in the light of their obvious catastrophic failure? Or will they go on being Reaganite/Friedmanite ideologues, remaining economic fundamentalist flat-earthers even as they're sailing over the edge?

This story isn't just about McCain in 2008, it's about many elections to come, and as much as I'm liking Democratic prospects for the next few decades, I'm sorry that Bush and company had to bring this country so low to its knees before Americans woke up to just what snake oil the GOP was selling.

In the meantime, McCain and Palin are talking about what? It's no longer bread and circuses, folks -- it's lipstick and pigs.

IlliniPundit's picture

"Will they blame their candidate -- the candidate they chose all by themselves in a year-long process they directed, they financed, they controlled, and they voted in -- or will they search their souls?"

Well, I hope they search their souls, and realize that big government, condescending, corrupt, "I know what's best for you" Republicans are no better than big government, condescending, corrupt, "I know what's best for you" Democrats.  I hope they'll stand up for some principle eventually.

"Will they actually have the courage to take a look at the fundamentals of their economic policies in the light of their obvious catastrophic failure? Or will they go on being Reaganite/Friedmanite ideologues, remaining economic fundamentalist flat-earthers even as they're sailing over the edge?"

I hope they'll examine the obvious economic failures of an activist government getting too involved in the marketplace and reaffirm their belief that the American people are best able to decide how to manage their lives and finances and health care and children.  I hope they'll set themselves up as a real alternative to this Democratic notion that the government is best able to ration health care and finances and housing, rather than campaigning as bipartisan "me too" Democrat-lites.

But as I've said since I started writing this blog, I have little to no faith in the wisdom of national Republicans.  I think reform of the GOP will have to work from the grassroots up, just as it has to do here in Illinois.  And that will be a longer process but will eventually produce a better GOP than if the reforms came from the top down.

And I actually feel badly for xian, who is routinely treated pretty badly on here, and usually puts up with quite a bit before lashing back.  Unfortunately, because of differing activity schedules, xian and I seem to be on IP.com at nearly opposite times, so by the time I catch up, it's usually too late to intervene.  For that, I'm sorry, but I just can't be on here all the time.  I do appreciate that you manage to ignore the worst of it for so long.

I appreciate the empathy. I couldn't live with the guilt if you discarded your job and family to defend me on an internet website, so the empathy is easily enough ;)

IlliniPundit's picture

No worries.  I'm glad you stick it out on here. 

And I'm sorry for the awful shifting of person and tense in the paragraph you quoted.  Ugh.

It was Rangel and the democrats who refused to do anything about the GSE's and Fannie Mae they have them on tape. Bush was the one who sent someone to congress and tried to get more oversight of Fannie Mae and Franklin Raines who gave Obama $125.000 dollars in campaign contributions.

Kevin Sandefur's picture

"Franklin Raines who gave Obama $125.000 dollars in campaign contributions."

So is that $125,000.00 (which would be illegal, and almost certainly never happened) or $125.00 (which is less than I've given Obama)?